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Megafauna

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28/04/24

09:11

Post #: 73541546
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Originally posted by Timtam15: ↑

Hi Mollaj,I shared your concerns and I definitely don’t like how the company is currently running under JB neither, but I can assure you that we are definitely not Altura 2.0, in fact far from it.

I will share a conversation I had with good friend of mine yesterday, whom had asked me the exact same question and Pondered why am I so confident that Sayona won’t have the same faith as it’s predecessor.
I simply told him numbers don’t lie.

Current Cash on hand is $99m + $28m (unpaid) + $13m (adjustments) = $140m (actual)

Let’s take this quarter as an example, we sold 58055, Sold for $999 and cost $1536.

P= Sales - Costs = $31m loss this quarter.

So based on the loss alone, we can last at least another 2-3 quarters at this burn rate.

Bear in mind the following;
1. we have a rising lithium market, which could see the lithium price return from $1133(now) to $2000 in the next 9 months

2. Ramp up will theoretically reduce the production cost, which will reduce “Unit production cost”

3. Customers adjustment payment for previous quarter due to rising lithium price

4. The calculation are net losses, the actual revenue received is $58m, which will help cover for other expenses such as staff, admin, developments costs incurred during the quarter

5. 31m loss actually means $8m from pll and $23 Syaq.
However moving forward, I anticipate we would only average around 30k or less dmt per quarter sold (113k allocation to PLL) so our losses will be less.
So the sweet spot for lithium price will be around 1344-1500, even with the 113k allocation to pll at 900usd or $1378.
It’s more likely that PLL will be Altura 2.0, if the lithium price don’t rebound fast enough.

”So if you recall from KP interview that a $1344 spot market price for example actually means $1344x 0.33 = $900 “
(20% for shipping and 13% VAT plus minus any adjustment due to grading)

So I don’t anticipate any problems, just need to be a-bit more patience with these mob and make sure they deliver what they have promised.

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I always pay more attention to people that have more lightbulbs than posts on this forum.

SYA Price at posting: 3.3¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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