EQR eq resources limited

Update from Pacpartners. They also compare against Almonty...

  1. 2,449 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 539
    Update from Pacpartners. They also compare against Almonty saying we are trading at 20% to 33% of their market cap. They are saying we are SUPER CHEAP.

    Flashnote - Highlights of the MarQ 2025 Report below.

    • EQR super-cheap relative to Almonty
    • Valuation impacts are under review.

    INTERIM FLASH NOTE

    Company

    EQ Resources | EQR

    Capitalisation

    Recommendation

    MCap $106.2m Price $0.045/share

    Speculative Buy $0.07/share Price Target – under review

    Date: 1ST MAY 2025

    EVENT / THEME

    March Quarter 2025 Report – Profitable Spain offset as Mt Carbine transitions

    Author

    Lawrence Grech – Resource Analyst

    Link to this note: Previous reports: EQR_PAC_19Mar2025(3-pages); EQR_PAC_RR_11Feb2025(13-pages); Tungsten & peers report: Tungsten_PAC_Report_6Feb2025(27-pages);

    MarQ 2025 – Mt Carbine’s weather interrupted ramp up

    Saloro’s output was just below its recent record rate still enabling operating profit. Mt Carbine’s strong mined materials movement wasn’t enough to access high-grade ore resulting in 25% fall in output and a cash loss.

    • Production of Tungsten trioxide was down 13.2% to 36,710 mtu (metric tonne units = 10 kg of WO) in MarQ 2025 on DecQ 2024 for the group.

    While group ore mined was up 4.5% QoQ, feed processed through the gravity plants fell 3.8% to 277.6kt and input grade fell 16% to 0.226% leading to the lower produced WO.

    • Saloro operation generated a positive $2.1m cashflow from strong production though was 9.8% QoQ decrease to 29,993 mtu WO₃. Ore mined was 10% lower with 13% lower WO in gravity feed processed.
    • Mt Carbine posted a negative $3.3m cashflow on 25.7% fall QoQ to just 6,717 mtu WOproduction. Mt Carbine overcame wet weather interruptions to record 22.6% and 47.8% lift respectively in mined material extracted and ore mined. However, the delay in accessing higher grade zones led to 9.9% fall in gravity feed processed combined with 17.6% fall in grade to 0.196% WO.
    • Cash balance at 31 Mar 2025 was $1.9m, down a marginal $0.1m on end Dec 2024.

    Operating loss was $1.2m, capital spend $1.6m and lease & borrowings repaid were $1.6m. These outgoings were balanced by $4.48m in offtake prepayments.

    Outlook – Mt Carbine progressively accessing hi-grade; Spain more optimization and added cashflow

    • Mt Carbine is now mining intermediate grade 345-335 level that will boost current WO output. Strong blasting/mining rate assists stripping effort to enable mining high-grade 335-325 RL level in south-east part of Pit 2. This will see progressive quarterly WO output rise and strongly rising cashflow generation.
    • Saloro’s has been boosting crushing and concentrator capacity utilization with improving WOrecoveries to over 60%. Further optimization could see recoveries at ~70%. Addition of 3rd XRT sorter and wet screen could add a significant 90kt per quarter capacity to the 116kt sorted in MarQ 2025.
    • Debt funding options for Mt Carbine’s doubling plant capacity are advanced. Plant is onsite and quick to connect. Added capital may be sourced from the US Defense Production Act.

    EQR’s marketing and due diligence advances

    • Offtake agreements were concluded with five counterparties 470,000 metric tonne units of WO (mtu = 10kg of tungsten trioxide concentrate) worth ~US$124m over the next 2 years into Asia, US and EU.

    For scale the agreements are worth ~US$31m per half year versus EQR’s DecH’2024 revenue of US$23m.

    • In addition, EQR intend to also supply concentrate to ferrotungsten producer Tungsten Metals Group in Vietnam. A successful melt run by TMG has advanced EQR’s due diligence on acquiring the firm.

    EQR Leadership Team strengthened for its growth phase

    • Craig Bradshaw was appointed as Non-Executive Director on to the EQR Board during April.
    • Oliver Kleinhempel, EQR’s chairman has moved into a full-time executive role.
    • Kevin MacNeill, EQR’s Managing Director is transitioning to Chief Technical Officer to optimize plants.
    • David Laulau has been appointed General Manager of Mt Carbine mining operations.

    EQ Resources is super-cheap relative to Almonty Industries

    On a unit Reserves basis EQ is valued at only ~20% to 33% of Almonty’s implied capitalisation and implied Enterprise Value. This implies EQ has 3 times or more upside relative to Almonty.

    We note that Almonty also has > 50m in-money Warrants and Options outstanding that would dilute Almonty a further ~$80m or ~9%.

    Relative share price move Almonti versus EQR

    • massive outperformance of AII since Dec 2025
    • EQR primed to re-rate as production ramps up at Mt Carbine and Saloro efficiencies drive higher profitability

    FOR INVESTMENT RISKS – see link above for full report on Page 8 of EQR_PAC_RR_11Feb2025.

    EQR is a minerals exploration development and production company. At this stage it has yet to establish enough cash generating capacity to sustain all its efficiency and expansion capital programs. Please view disclaimers below and in the full report.





    SYDNEY
    Level 26, Governor Phillip Tower, 1 Farrer Place, Sydney +61 2 9134 9133

    MELBOURNE (Head Office)
    Level 29, 360 Collins Street, Melbourne +61 3 9114 7400

    PERTH

    Suite 2.1, 9 Havelock Street, West Perth

    +61 8 6372 7900

    Recommendation Criteria

    Investment View

    PAC Partners Investment View is based on an absolute one-year total return equal to capital appreciation plus yield.

    A Speculative recommendation is when a company has limited experience or early project stage from which to derive a fundamental investment view.

    Speculative buy = We expect the stock’s total return (nominal yield plus capital appreciation) to exceed 20% over 12 months. The investment may have strong capital appreciation but also has a high degree of risk and there is a significant risk of capital loss.

    Speculative Buy

    >20%

    Buy

    Hold

    Sell

    >20%

    20% – 5%

    <5%

    Risk Rating

    PAC Partners has a four tier Risk Rating System consisting of: Very High, High, Medium, and Low. The Risk Rating is a subjective rating based on: Management Track Record, Forecasting Risk, Industry Risk and Financial Risk including cash flow analysis.

    Disclosure of Economic Interests

    The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the personal views ofabout the subject issuer and its securities. No part of the analyst's compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to any recommendation or view expressed in this report.

    The following person(s) does hold an economic interest in the securities covered in this report or other securities issued by the subject issuer which may influence this report.

    • The author of this report – Lawrence Grech.
    • A member of the immediate family of the author of this report

    Disclaimer

    PAC Partners Securities Pty Ltd. (“PAC Partners”, “PAC” or “PPS”) is a Corporate Authorised Representative of PAC Asset Management Pty Ltd holder of an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL No. 335 374).

    The information contained in this report is provided by PAC Partners to Wholesale Investors only. Retail investor and third-party recipients should not rely, directly or indirectly, on this report. Users of this research report should not act on any content or recommendation without first seeking professional advice. Whilst the report has been prepared with all reasonable care from sources which we believe are reliable, no responsibility or liability is accepted by PAC Partners, for any errors or omissions or misstatements however caused. Any opinions, forecasts or recommendations reflect our judgement and assumptions at the date of publication or broadcast and may change without notice. This report is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment. This publication contains general securities advice. In preparing our Content it is not possible to take into consideration the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any individual user. Access of this report does not create a client relationship between PAC Partners and the user. Before making an investment decision on the basis of this advice, you need to consider, with or without the assistance of a securities adviser, whether the advice in this publication is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs, objectives and financial situation.

    PAC and its associates within the meaning of the Corporations Act may hold securities in the companies referred to in this publication. PAC believes that the advice and information herein is accurate and reliable, but no warranties of accuracy, reliability or completeness are given (except insofar as liability under any statute cannot be excluded). No responsibility for any errors or omissions or any negligence is accepted by PAC or any of its directors, employees or agents. Any content is not for public circulation or reproduction, whether in whole or in part and is not to be disclosed to any person other than the intended user, without the prior written consent of PAC Partners.

    Disclosure of Corporate Involvement

    PAC Partners has received fees in the past 12 months by the EQ Resources as Lead Manager of the May 2024 $9.5m placement and also Joint Lead Manager for the $4m December 2024 placement.

    PAC Partners does seek to do business with companies covered in the research. PAC may receive commissions from dealing in securities associated with the Company. As a result, investors should be aware that PAC Partners may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report.

    If you would like to be removed from this distribution list, please click here:UNSUBSCRIBE.

    If you would like to update your details please click here: MODIFY.

    For more information about PAC Partners please visit www.pacpartners.com.au


 
Add to My Watchlist
What is My Watchlist?
A personalised tool to help users track selected stocks. Delivering real-time notifications on price updates, announcements, and performance stats on each to help make informed investment decisions.
(20min delay)
Last
3.3¢
Change
-0.001(2.94%)
Mkt cap ! $88.34M
Open High Low Value Volume
3.6¢ 3.7¢ 3.3¢ $68.76K 2.007M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
4 420209 3.3¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
3.6¢ 81646 1
View Market Depth
Last trade - 15.47pm 18/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
EQR (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.