Not sure how you've calculated the dollar value increase...

Not sure how you've calculated the dollar value increase for a field of unknown size and applied it to have a 200th of a cent increase in the share price? Perhaps you should give Tino a buzz and let him know?

There are far too many unknowns in this scenario. What if 23BCF is confirmed and the price of gas rockets to the upper end of the current price cap of $12?

I think a conservative approach is always prudent when making a forecast, but what you've posted is conjecture in my opinion. Not even sure it is knowable how much this field will add to the share price at this point in time.