MLX 4.30% 44.5¢ metals x limited

Ann: Quarterly Activities Report, page-13

  1. 142 Posts.
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    I can't.


    My back of the envelope maths using the disclosed numbers would suggest cash receipts ~$21m (2,759t x $7,571/t) vs cash costs of ~$46m (4,678t x $9,876/t) - a net cash outflow of ~$25m. Far more than the EBITDA would suggest.


    But then EBITDA likely includes inventory adjustment and also there is likely a lag in cash receipts from Cu sales.


    Perhaps more germane to look at total cash, WC + investments which seems to have declined ~$15-20m (after adjusting for the CR), reflecting more accurately the Nifty cash outflow (tin neither here nor there, only <$2m attrib cash generated)?

    IMHO it's quite hard to form an accurate picture of cash generation / cash outflow from the detailed quarterly disclosure - and as a consequence, hard to make a robust forecast on a quarterly basis. 



 
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