Appreciate your table, @ShanghaiBobby
But I wouldn't take the EBITDA/share of just the base case (originally $0.02, now revised to $0.06) for further calculations.
I'd make a weighted average of several scenarios.
- If you neglect the "ideal case" for now and just take the average of your three scenarios "bad case", "average case" and "good case", giving each scenario a probability of 1/3, you get $0.11 EBITDA/share.
- If you include the "ideal case" with a probability of, say, 10% and the other 3 scenarios of 30%, you get almost $0.16 EBITDA/share.
That reflects that there is much more upside with MLX than downside. Just calculating the base case does not take that into account.
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Appreciate your table, @ShanghaiBobby But I wouldn't take the...
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 92852 | 0.405 |
2 | 300310 | 0.400 |
4 | 46582 | 0.395 |
3 | 144000 | 0.390 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.390 | 9081 | 1 |
0.405 | 11500 | 1 |
0.410 | 240289 | 3 |
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