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29/07/22
20:03
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Originally posted by xanax:
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My view: As previously stated PAN will receive an scheme offer from IGO. That cannot proceed without Board: Expert & Court appro. etc. Therefore corporate games. Managements job now is to extract the highest possible price. As an expert cannot give an opinion on fair value in a ramp-up stage, It is likely that Year end + 2/3 Q reports needed. Therefore: Make the last Q. results look ordinary. How: Only bring to account cash received. Ignore receivables. Expense everything against cash received. Which makes costs look excessive. However: In the coming Q account for cash received, with the expenses in the last Q. AISC drops: profits well up: re-rating each Q. With a fair wind and a strengthening PoN and barring any Black Swan events: Each Q. should exceed the previous. Leaving IGO with a problem: It's going to have to pay overs to get control: Something it is not in its DNA. Also, I would look for a scrip transaction, not cash, as I would prefer the tax liability at a time of my choosing not IGO's. This is a bit simplistic but written for some of the younger players here. As previously stated I'm a big believer in the Ni sector with 700K PAN & moving towards 1m. Also 1.1m POS with a view to move to 2m. That's enough skin and anxiety (hence Xanax) in the game at this end of the market cheers xanax
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Spot on summary Xanax but I find the single malt does the job for me - there will still be plenty of anxiety before the dust finally settles here but the potential positives have a good chance of delivering as good an outcome for holders as anything else in the nickel space - hence my buy sentiment