SVG 0.00% 2.6¢ savannah goldfields limited

The Company states a plant capacity of 180,000 tpa at 100%...

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    The Company states a plant capacity of 180,000 tpa at 100% capacity.
    Of course it has never come anywhere near that and in the last 12 months has only processed 150kt. I don't give this management team any chance of exceeding that - even if its a dry summer this year, unike last year.
    So:
    150,000t at the 3g/t = about 14.5koz
    = ~3.6koz / qtr
    assume 90% recovery
    = 3265oz/qtr production
    = $9.8m revenue at A$3000/oz gold price
    Staged cost target is A$2000/oz
    = $7.2m opex
    = $2.6m margin
    annualised = $10m
    vs an EV of $40m
    = 4x casflow multiple

    No bargain for such a unreliable operation, a Company with such a screwed up cap structure, perilous current financial condition and a management team that has not met any sort of target EVER.

    Just my opinion

 
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