Ann: Quarterly Activities Summary Period Ended 31 March 2025, page-143

Final Answer

Assuming the pump and production have continuously stayed on since the April 15, 2025 update, with only pressure monitoring and pump speed changes as interventions, there is a 60–70% chance that the production rate from the Alameda-2 well in Block 9 has increased from 488 BOPD to approximately 500–600 BOPD, driven by natural cleanup (5–15% gain from clearing fines) and potential pump speed optimization guided by pressure data. A significant increase (>600 BOPD, e.g., 1,235 BOPD) has a 10–20% chance, as it likely requires new wells like Amistad-2. A decline (400–470 BOPD) has a 15–25% chance, possible from pump issues but mitigated by Unit 1B’s strong reservoir and monitoring. No change (488 BOPD) has a 20–30% chance, plausible if cleanup benefits are exhausted. For the latest production data, check Melbana Energy’s ASX announcements or website