I like getting a bit of sell side opinion for shares I own.
FYI below are the quarter on quarter revenue growth figures for the individual businesses as well as the portfolio - putting aside the typical bumpiness in the results from the second string businesses I think it still looks pretty good.
QUARTER ON QUARTER REVENUE GROWTH
Mar-17
Jun-17
Sep-17
Dec-17
Mar-18
Jun-18
Sep-18
Dec-18
Mar-19
Jun-19
Sep-19
Dec-19
Qtr
Qtr
Qtr
Qtr
Qtr
Qtr
Qtr
Qtr
Qtr
Qtr
Qtr
Qtr
Autodeal
12%
0%
17%
-6%
0%
22%
2%
30%
15%
13%
1%
CarsDB
1%
25%
305%
-8%
-67%
127%
194%
-10%
-78%
115%
140%
Encuentra24
18%
-1%
-13%
16%
3%
2%
2%
1%
6%
4%
-8%
Hoppler
49%
8%
-31%
53%
63%
8%
39%
-18%
-5%
7%
-33%
iMyanmar
27%
-7%
2%
10%
42%
-28%
73%
-8%
28%
-22%
16%
LankaPropertyWeb
-9%
18%
13%
80%
-24%
-3%
-9%
41%
-26%
16%
22%
Meqasa
211%
-64%
126%
123%
-40%
34%
2%
15%
54%
TechAfrica
1020%
37%
66%
-24%
3%
1%
ToLet
-48%
38%
41%
-32%
29%
19%
49%
-49%
44%
West Africa
18%
-4%
Zameen
7%
24%
25%
27%
-11%
38%
0%
61%
-2%
1%
15%
Pakwheels
36%
23%
65%
-39%
26%
-27%
39%
-16%
-19%
18%
21%
Infocasas
7%
11%
52%
0%
21%
30%
24%
-4%
42%
54%
-11%
Propzy
33%
52%
60%
-76%
62%
124%
101%
-18%
143%
41%
43%
Moteur
98%
-45%
299%
-47%
60%
-30%
175%
-22%
-12%
12%
44%
TOTAL (PORTFOLIO BASIS)
14%
11%
21%
11%
-2%
21%
14%
24%
5%
10%
10%
Other than another good result for Zameen, a couple of things of note this quarter are:
1. Increase in stakes in AutoDeal and Infocasas, at the cost of a dilution to the overall portfolio due to the equity placement. I see this as a positive given both businesses are growing consistently and now EBITDA-positive.
2. The forecast cash outflows for the next quarter suggest FDV is scaling up. These typically run at around $5m per quarter and although there is typically some overestimation in the forecasts, $8.6m would be a very sizeable increase. Particularly notable is the bump in staff costs, which should typically have less fluctuation than advertising etc. and have been consistently around $2m in recent quarters.
FDV Price at posting:
99.5¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
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