MLX 1.05% 47.0¢ metals x limited

Ann: Repayment of Loan Facility, page-6

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    Prediction for Q3

    Production: 2,200 - 2,300t (100%)
    EBITDA: A$55m (100%)
    Cash bal: A$30m (MLX).

    If you consider a cal bal of A$30m and value the con note at par (A$36m), you're still getting the company for an EV of A$250m. Could be argued that the nickel asset is worth ~A$50m so Renison (+Rentails) is getting priced at ~A$200m. Given the tax losses this thing could FCF (excl expansion capex) over $100m - so FCFy is ~50%. Still got a lot of legs here IMO.
 
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