I agree the Ann is a bit cryptic, but there is some great detail.
First train has been loaded.
My thoughts on the blending are:
Current price for the blended coal will be between $167 and $190 (spot price), investor presentation worked on a price $137. So depending on quality the price there is between $30 and $53 increase in assumed revenue.
The original blend was 65/45, now 50/50. So a decrease of 5% at say a 20% increase in price for the NPA coal roughly equates to an increase of $8 - 10 per tonne of the finished blend
So worst case profit is $167 - $98 = $69 Best case = $92
There is a $20 to $43 increase per tonne higher than the original estimate and if price decreases the original estimate is still feasible.
Production will increase and they have indicated the 3 weeks will be recovered. So they should be able to improve these numbers over time.
This is positive.
Not financial advice and DYOR!
AHQ Price at posting:
73.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held