AAR 2.30% 8.9¢ astral resources nl

Ann: Resources Rising Stars Summer Series Presentation, page-19

  1. 8,994 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 3806
    Taken a position here. Not cheap per se vs some other players but given the location and the teams history I think the valuation is probably justified.

    Theia being a single pit 1Moz deposit is key here. If you back out the capex and assume it gets fed through someone else mill that increases NPV by $123m. At current spot gold of A$3,100 pre tax NPV sits c. $630m. So adding capex on top that moves it to c. A$750m pre-tax. Or probably c. $550m post tax (with an 8% discount which while probably still low is good vs standard practice 5 in the gold space).

    As such even though I say not cheap its trading <10% spot NAV if you assume a takeout. If you add in takeover premium it's probably still <20% of NAV.

    Feysville etc look like there is real opportunity to expand the resource base too which is not factored into NAV for Mandilla currently.

    upload_2024-2-12_10-18-5.png
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add AAR (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
8.9¢
Change
0.002(2.30%)
Mkt cap ! $83.04M
Open High Low Value Volume
8.7¢ 9.4¢ 8.7¢ $304.7K 3.374M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 108080 8.7¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
9.2¢ 94999 1
View Market Depth
Last trade - 14.33pm 21/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
Last
8.7¢
  Change
0.002 ( 0.58 %)
Open High Low Volume
9.2¢ 9.3¢ 8.7¢ 358790
Last updated 14.32pm 21/05/2024 ?
AAR (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.