RHC 0.59% $47.46 ramsay health care limited

So, bid price 37% premium to last. Which should get the deal...

  1. 16,517 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 8050
    So, bid price 37% premium to last.

    Which should get the deal done, I think
    (Unless, of course, an interloper gets involved [*]).

    For context, Healthscope (HSO) was taken over by Brookfield for a mere 23% premium, and that was even after Brookfield was not the sole bidder (although, to be realistic, the BGH Capital-AustralianSuper consortium that made the first bid for HSO was really a lightweight contender).


    [*] And the scope for a bidding contest happening is far from zero: a company like RHC is a private equity operator's dream; it has stable and predictable earnings and cash flows (and hence, can be geared aggressively...far more aggressively that public markets will tolerate), and is rich in highly sale-able assets which can liberate capital to enhance the returns of the PE operators.

    Case in point, the carrying value of RHC's property portfolio is $3bn... and that is valued at cost less accumulated depreciation and accumulated impairments, so who knows what it must be worth if it was today marked-to-market, which is what would effectively happen if those property assets were transferred into a property trust after being acquired by a PE group?  

    $4.0bn?   
    $5.0bn?
    What about $6.0bn, maybe?


    RHC latent assets.JPG
 
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