RED 4.92% 29.0¢ red 5 limited

Some very interesting moments here, current state of...

  1. 5 Posts.
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    Some very interesting moments here, current state of affairs:

    Revenue:
    RED5 March AISC = $1,926/oz
    SLR March AISC = $1,522/oz
    (each contributing ~50% of production so weighted average AISC around $1,750/oz)

    ~450koz production per year
    Hedging 290koz @$2,769/oz (about 15-20% of production over next few years)

    82koz @ ($2,769 - $1,750)) = ~$82m
    (445-82koz) @ ($3,500 - $1,750) = $635m (todays gold price, yet to see management guidance on production?)
    Total = $717m

    to get to FCF maybe another $80m of spend on growth capex?

    Liquid assets:
    Cash and bullion $453.7m
    (less) Debt $92.9m
    (plus) RED shares held $156.6m
    Total = $517.4m

    EV = $2.72b - $517.4m = $2.2b (at $0.405 price)

    So correct my math please, but this stock is trading for a ~3.06x EV/EBITDA ratio... Not sure what has happened recently with the stock price but I certainly was expecting post-merger for it to go upwards not downwards so as long as I remain confused by the markets valuation I will continue holding the stock. Middle column highly relevant from page 8 of market annoucement on 9th April.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6296/6296053-a57bd9d22acb2da6e3e265eff88bbcd3.jpg


 
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Last
29.0¢
Change
-0.015(4.92%)
Mkt cap ! $1.972B
Open High Low Value Volume
30.0¢ 30.5¢ 28.5¢ $11.74M 40.23M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
19 2499164 29.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
29.5¢ 1608201 23
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Last trade - 16.10pm 04/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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