Love the conspiracies!
The contingent payment date is entirely out of the control of FAR management (as you have insightfully figured out, I'm actually the CEO and not a retail punter, so I can assure you of that). It is dependent on first oil production, so up to Woodside.
The strategy is wait for first oil, then liquidate when FAR can get a more favourable discount rate on the sale of the CP, and in the meantime try and get some money for remaining exploration assets. Pretty straightforward.
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