I don't think it's 50:50, should be less than 1% chance, imo.
if the price was up due to Avalon's Niobium potential, then s/p won't drop that much just because Pokali is a duster, also the timing of the drop was just after drilling completed.
Do you think that they don't have any Pokali assay on hand before the very last one that they said they received on 23/7, I guess that their plan was to wait for Avalon drilling finished and if pXRF shows it's a carbonatite then they will announce it then Pokali assay or both at the same time, but if it's not, we've seen what happened on Monday, then let the Pokali assay out.
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