RNO 0.00% 4.0¢ rhinomed limited

In fairness think the market response is about right atm.I think...

  1. 929 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 205

    In fairness think the market response is about right atm.

    I think it's a great contract win and can't see why it won't get the final tick of approval in the coming weeks. Both RNO & BTNX have sounded pretty solid about the partnership in a couple of announcements & BTNX has been through the Canadian process before. But, it hasn't happened yet.

    • The original BTNX MOU was announced on 25th January (10 weeks ago)
    • The HY Report hinted at a 2 year year contract (7 weeks ago)
    • Last week's Supply agreement finally confirmed the minimum quantities

    So in some aspects the news with regards a Tier 1 partner is 10 weeks old.

    Since then things have unfolded like:
    • Ukraine & Russia
    • Talk of rising interest rates
    • A Federal election
    • A Cap raise was announced in conjunction with the Supply agreement
    • We're now in School Holidays/Easter break
    • We still need final regulatory approval
    • The BTNX contract doesn't start until July
    • The BTNX contract & revenue doesn't ramp up until October
    • Governments aren't talking as much about Covid & our health as they were before
    • Most long termers already have their fill & like Elite said can top up in due course
    • Other competitive technologies come along (i.e. see ResApp (RAP) & Pfizer proposed acquisition today).
    • Bell Potter & co don't get their shares until 19/4

    I have faith the BTNX deal will happen in full and that there are other decent contracts in the making.

    I think RNO will re-rate over time, but for now I'll sleep a bit better than I was this time last week.
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add RNO (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.