Well, here are my thoughts:
- A "rights issue" sounds more positive than a "capital raise" (sorry "another" capital raise");
- In the last HY, there were large drops in revenue over the Japan, Australia and US markets;
- Japan is the only segment with an operating profit in the last HY - very large losses in other segments;
- Lyramid seems as becalmed as both Team NZ and Luna Rossa boats were today;
- They persist in terming the R&D tax credit as "revenue";
- The Covid tests have probably all rotted on the shelves by now;
- The revenue and EBIT for the last HY is down by circa $1million;
- They have burned through circa $2.5 million in cash (or 35%) over the last 6 months of the last HY; and,
- The Receivables are down 45% over the same period.
Normally, raising cash - whether it be via a "capital raise" or " a rights issue" are desired for "capital" type projects (asset purchases, debt repayment, M&A etc). However, given most of the negative numbers are "revenue" related and of course, not to mention the large sucking noises that are incessantly emanating from the salaries & admin departments...it would be reasonable to assume the current rights issue is more so required to fund "revenue".
IMHO, this current financial event should therefore be termed a "revenue raise". Given the cash we already have and what is supposedly to come in, I thought it to be a bit premature, so I suspect the Board knows something we don't and I would not be surprised if this turns out to be more about survival. We'll see - hopefully I am wrong!
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