They sure did, and that's exactly the point. Thacker Pass is projected to require CAPEX of US$2.93 billion. Financing has been secured from various channels, comprising: US$650 million from GM in exchange for exclusive offtake rights for the initial 15 years, a US$2.26 billion loan from the US Department of Energy (as previously mentioned by you), and the cap raise this week (US$275m), totalling US$3.185 billion. So even with US$2.91b of external funding already sorted (which is over 95% of projected CAPEX), LAC still had to dilute their existing shareholders by 25%, and at a 25% discount to boot.
Now, returning to my original (but connected) point. It's highly improbable for a strategic partner to invest funds equivalent to 2-3 times the market cap of a company, which is the likely requirement for AGY. The US Government isn't inclined to extend such a loan to AGY; the loan for Thacker Pass was earmarked for a strategic asset. Similarly, the Argentinian Government isn't poised to provide funding (because they're broke), nor is the Australian government solely because AGY is an Australian company. That really only leaves a pre-paid offtake, which has never occurred at the scale required by AGY (240% of market cap), handing over part ownership to someone else (which is just shareholder dilution in disguise) or non-government debt (which again is unlikely to cover 240% of market cap).
The most viable option entails leveraging a blend of financing sources, akin to what LAC did, including a cap raise. In the case of AGY I'm anticipating substantial dilution and a significant discount due to the current state of the lithium market.
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AGY
argosy minerals limited
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They sure did, and that's exactly the point. Thacker Pass is...
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Last
3.4¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $49.50M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | 0 |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 30000 | 3.7¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
3.3¢ | 150000 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 30000 | 0.037 |
9 | 15702 | 0.036 |
2 | 45571 | 0.035 |
7 | 365737 | 0.034 |
5 | 249574 | 0.033 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.034 | 120625 | 2 |
0.035 | 133399 | 2 |
0.036 | 557554 | 4 |
0.037 | 516946 | 2 |
0.038 | 359375 | 3 |
Last trade - 16.30pm 04/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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Dr Michael Thurn, CEO & MD
Dr Michael Thurn
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