JBY james bay minerals limited

Ann: Scoping Study Underway for Near Surface Mineral Resource, page-2

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    The June 2025announcement materially strengthens the investment case for James Bay Minerals(ASX: JBY), building on and validating the thesis laid out in the February 2025research note. Here's how it shifts the investment narrative:

    Positive Developments

    1. Scoping Study Progress – Key De-risking Milestone
    • Engaging Kappes, Cassiday & Associates to lead the Scoping Study validates management's execution strategy and shows tangible progress toward near-term development of the oxide resource.
    • Focus on open-pit, heap-leach operation reinforces the economic model highlighted in the original thesis, particularly given Nevada's supportive cost structure and infrastructure.
    Resource Clarity and Expansion Potential
    • The oxide resource is now explicitly stated as 294koz @ 0.40g/t (Indicated) and 91koz @ 0.32g/t (Inferred), aligning well with the previous NI 43-101 estimates and confirming confidence in existing resources.
    • A further 370m of strike outside the current MRE footprint is now being explored, reinforcing the potential to increase the near-surface resource from ~385koz to 500koz+, a key valuation lever in the original thesis.
    High-Grade Skarn Resource Now Quantified
    • The high-grade skarn mineralisation has now been officially classified at 984koz @ 6.67g/t Au (Inferred), compared to 796koz estimated in the earlier report. This ~20% uplift in high-grade ounces materially increases the asset's optionality and attractiveness, especially for potential acquirers like Nevada Gold Mines (NGM).
    Confirmation of Development Optionality
    • The dual-resource strategy—low-cost near-term oxide development with high-grade skarn optionality—has moved from conceptual to structured, staged planning, improving clarity on the path to production and longer-term value realisation.

    ⚖️ Neutral/Remaining Risks

    1. No Metallurgical Update Yet
    • Metallurgy was cited as a key risk in the earlier note. The June announcement doesn't address recovery testing or ore type processing plans. This remains a crucial de-risking step for the heap-leach strategy.
    Execution and Funding Still Required
    • The update reaffirms the strategic pathway but doesn't address funding for development or exploration. These concerns—particularly dilution risk—remain relevant.

    Net Impact: Strongly Positive

    Investment CaseEnhancement:

    • The announcement affirms heap-leach viability, extends mineralisation, and increases both oxide and skarn resource confidence.
    • It improves the likelihood of a near-term re-rating and enhances long-term takeover logic through stronger project scale and synergy potential.

    ValuationImplications:

    • Based on previous peer takeout valuations (~$137/oz), the updated figures (~1.37Moz Au in total) place JBY’s resource base at ~$188M, vs. its current ~$63M market cap, indicating 2–3x upside still in play.
    • The resource expansion pathway (targeting ~2Moz) is now more credible, increasing the probability of realizing the $200M–$300M valuation range mentioned in the February note.

    Conclusion

    This update is atextbook confirmation of the February investment thesis. It enhances visibility on resource scale,validates the heap-leach development route, and reinforces the strategic appealto potential acquirers. For current holders, it supports continued confidenceand potential accumulation onweakness, pending metallurgical confirmation.


 
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