SEA 0.00% 16.5¢ sundance energy australia limited

IMO, that was as good as a result as you could expect. My take...

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    IMO, that was as good as a result as you could expect.

    My take aways were:
    - Demonstrated cost reduction per BOE. Going by Eric's responses/commentary regarding cost, SEA is sand bagging on cost guidance.
    - They are reducing their run rate of wells per year to 18(going by 100 mil capex).(IMO probably the only negative, but I guess they want to demonstrate strong cash flow?)
    - to remain flat with 100 mil capex, 40 mil FCF cashflow generated at $55 WTI, $2.5 gas, $18 NGL.
    - Exit run rate for Q3 of 16-17k BOE/D, most of capex will be completed for Q4. Should be some very nice cashflow for Q4.
    - Justin Tom pads are 12,500 laterals.
    - 6 month BO 90,000, BOE 125,000 = quick pay back at $15 cost per barrel.

    Must be wearing rose coloured glasses, but on a company level this looks great.

    Only downside is further deterioration of POO.

    However,SEA is more than sufficiently discounted and hedged for reduction of POO.

    Being short SEA is a scary prospect IMO. SEA ain't going bankrupt any time soon and sentiment is already pathetic, so not sure what their game plan could be.

 
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