IMO, that was as good as a result as you could expect.
My take aways were: - Demonstrated cost reduction per BOE. Going by Eric's responses/commentary regarding cost, SEA is sand bagging on cost guidance. - They are reducing their run rate of wells per year to 18(going by 100 mil capex).(IMO probably the only negative, but I guess they want to demonstrate strong cash flow?) - to remain flat with 100 mil capex, 40 mil FCF cashflow generated at $55 WTI, $2.5 gas, $18 NGL. - Exit run rate for Q3 of 16-17k BOE/D, most of capex will be completed for Q4. Should be some very nice cashflow for Q4. - Justin Tom pads are 12,500 laterals. - 6 month BO 90,000, BOE 125,000 = quick pay back at $15 cost per barrel.
Must be wearing rose coloured glasses, but on a company level this looks great.
Only downside is further deterioration of POO.
However,SEA is more than sufficiently discounted and hedged for reduction of POO.
Being short SEA is a scary prospect IMO. SEA ain't going bankrupt any time soon and sentiment is already pathetic, so not sure what their game plan could be.
SEA Price at posting:
16.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held