OPT 3.03% 85.0¢ opthea limited

I suspect you were the one with that substantial 1M order at 10...

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  1. 1,371 Posts.
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    I suspect you were the one with that substantial 1M order at 10 cents last week, blocking my fun and forcing me to pick up the pieces at a higher price. wink.png

    Despite this, I've managed to accumulate just under 1M options OPTOA/B in total. Anyway, I still have some funds available for this. Regal and institutional investors likely hold a significant amount of OPTOB, and it will be interesting to see their next moves.


    Here is my probability function based on standard deviation and a 70/30 risk-adjusted scenario between $0 and $2.20. Although the most probable single value for June 2025 is zero if P3 fails, the majority of the area under the first standard deviation curve indicates that success (based on P2b) is the more likely outcome. At today's values, there is not much difference in buying OPT, OPTOA, or OPTOB.

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/6336/6336381-102e753a118bd832c5ac747a6953bd79.jpg





 
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