You've looked at the data—what do you think the actual chances are of successfully replicating or improving upon the P2b results in COAST? Guessing much higher than 50% right
The reason I’m in OPT is that I believe there’s a clear mispricing in the market, driven by how the market misprices risk. Superfunds, financial planners, and the like simply can’t afford to be wrong, even if the math suggests it’s a very good "bet".
I must admit, I was pretty nervous buying OPT0B at 10-12.5 cents. Even my "exchange" two weeks ago—moving from OPT in the mid-60s to OPT0B in the mid-20s—still leaves me feeling a bit ambivalent, particularly in hindsight I could have waited a bit more and got 22.5cents (I'm more than a bit jealous)
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