SGH 0.00% 54.5¢ slater & gordon limited

Ann: SGH FY17 Results Presentation, page-177

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    What is a recap offer that you would vote yes to?

    Here are some rough and ready calcs I've just scribbled down on a notepad at Cairns airport to kill some time inbetween my next flight.

    SGL Aus FY17

    Revenue $226.7m (~75% PIL, highly dependant on advertising)

    NLBT $67.2m - don't have NLAT reported on a seg basis but I estimate $62.2m when allocating about $6m in interest expense on the existing A$ debt facilities and adding back the goodwill impairment which ideally should not be recurring.

    Net margin -27.4%

    So going back to SWC's beloved 15% net margin scenario, FY18 perhaps?

    On shrinking revenue, -15% in FY17, let's assume it holds current level in FY18 at $226.7m producing $34m net profit.

    No more warrants it would seem so let's assume 95% dilution or 6.94bn SOI post recap.

    Let's assume SGH (SGL Aus) trades at a PE of 10x or $340m. That yields a SP of 4.9c.

    For context, the current PE multiple is -0.4.

    So I struggle to understand why you think your shares are worth more or why you would vote no?
 
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