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13/10/16
13:52
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Originally posted by Dr.Who
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GC, a further point on this. How often do we hear investors say 'it is too late' after a horrible fall, 'need to hold on for the long haul back'.
It is a very strong emotion, I have it too at times but it is less now that it was. The fact is, it is a nonsense to say 'it is only a paper loss not a real loss because haven't crystallised it'. The securities held are only worth as much as the market will pay, end of story.
Every day is a new day do not anchor to what paid for shares. The only decision is will this stock give me a better return than an alternative stock over a given period (say nominally a year). If the answer is yes then great a good investment (despite its loss as that is history), if the answer is no there are better opportunities then only one rational course of action.
Easy to say but not easy to do. As has been said many times all responsible for own decisions and actions. One thing is for certain 'only a paper loss' is not a reason to hold onto a stock under any circumstances.
Incidentally, I believe SGH will be a top SP performer by this time next year. Possibly even the best on All Ords. Just my opinion though so take no notice of that anyone.
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Yes I agree. I guess the key is to try and minimise the "horrible losses" and the only way to do that is to cut losses quickly....for example at a defined %. However, if you don't use that sort of strategy then you have to make a hard decision and draw a line in the sand in terms of "future returns" and sell (crystallise the loss) if you expect that you can get a better return from another share.
I also agree about SGH being a good performer by this time next year.....it is a pretty good risk:reward play. I reckon a good approach will be to pyramid up (adding to overall position) as the SP rises as per example: http://cadencecapital.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/staged-entry-and-exit-points.jpg