SHV 1.01% $3.94 select harvests limited

Ann: SHV Investor Day Presentation 7 April 2016-SHV.AX, page-3

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    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 8
    62% uncommitted = 8,494 tonnes
    Current spot of $7 is $2 less than guidance
    8,494 tonnes at $2 = $17m downgrade to guidance

    Given that guidance of $9 was already down from $11.45 pool price last year, this year's profit is going to be a massive drop. Forget any ideas of a sustainable dividend.

    If these almond prices persist, next year will be even worse and commitment to rising volumes will only make things worse still. Have a look at page 15, under the orchard leasing arrangements all agri risks sits with SHV.

    This management team is betting the company on an improvement in the almond price.
 
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