Hi chevon, of course you are right - but what should I do? I'm (unfortunately - I would love to be there...) not at the drill site and can only make some reasonable guesses...
I do not know, which drilling performance they intent to execute with the LWD assembly in the different formations. I do not know, how fast they can drill the Kockatea. And I not even know, how thick the Kockatea actually is... about 600m? ...or rather 400m?
I made some assumptions based on the stratigraphy of WE2 and the drilling performance of WE5 but the new well design of drilling about 2,200m - including 600m of marine shale - with the LWD assembly makes it a bit harder to get a good prediction of timings...
... I hope, we will get the next anna by Friday or on Monday... If it takes a bit longer, than my inital predictions and assumptions above are proven very (!) accurate...
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