while i expect and think the same myself that our SP will boom with financings and FID and offtake.... the investment environment since i first started 30years ago has change, more technical criteria, and Tech itself have influence out come for companies.
in the past when a company got a massive amount of money in backing etc, the SP would go up extremely well, some holding their breath until it occurred.... but these days i see companies get there money and SP does do anything or may slide... there are a few on my watchlist that have done exactly that.
the reasoning i think, is that with financing is spending.... and a lot of investor don't like companies spending money rather they want it coming in.... the coming in might actually be 2 years away minium, and still 4-5 for dividend even if large.... does an investor want to waiting (not me so much as an older investor 4yrs to dividend is like 20 to me) .
4 years is a long time and newer technolgy might come along to disrupt... and common term this days, the but is so many 100s (or more) of billion have been invest into lithium/battery structure can it be undone? the scope of my brain doesn't see it but then again i do know i have limitations.
so while i expect the boom share pricing as i though 1.5years ago in my stratergy focasting (ie guess work) would not be surprise with many other examples if this doesn't happen so much, until we are producing product.
so...in my forcasting i saw other assets... and thought what a good backup.
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