But the uranium market doesn’t need to do anything for Aura shareholders to do well - Aura just needs to close the gap with its peers. Have a look at the Bannermans presentation on page 22:
To compare apples with apples, take the case where the Uranium price is 80. NPV projections (post-tax) for Bannermans range from USD390m to USD544m.
Looking at Aura:
NPV projections were USD388m, but taking into account the recent 55% uplift, we can say the range is USD388m to USD601m.
Looks pretty similar right? With both mines in African jurisdictions, Aura sitting at about AUD$100m market cap, Bannermans is sitting at about AUD$500m market cap.
I’ve previously set out reasons why this might be the case (i.e. why there is a discount), but just closing the gap with Bannermans, with no movement in the uranium market, gets the share price north of AUD$0.50.
On top of that, there’s potential further upside if the market recognises more value in Haggan, and Tiris may end up being 2-3 bigger than even what the 55% uplift suggests.
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13.0¢ |
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Mkt cap ! $115.7M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
13.0¢ | 13.5¢ | 12.5¢ | $225.8K | 1.739M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
12 | 522766 | 12.5¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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13.5¢ | 227128 | 4 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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10 | 481566 | 0.125 |
25 | 1027589 | 0.120 |
8 | 673778 | 0.115 |
11 | 1050020 | 0.110 |
10 | 996900 | 0.105 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.135 | 136004 | 2 |
0.140 | 316922 | 8 |
0.145 | 326000 | 6 |
0.150 | 1115045 | 12 |
0.155 | 134000 | 5 |
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