A simple but interesting mental exercise if you will.
I don't talk about the share price or make price projections per se but want to do a hypothetical .
1) Would people agree the market is saying BRK is fair value right now at a share price of 1.4 -1.5 cents?
2) If that is the case then with a current EPS of 0.34 cents, the market is applying a P/E ratio of ~ 4. There is a possibility that without a change in market sentiment towards small cap oilers , there may be no expansion of that ratio going forward. Therefore would there be general agreement that a P/E ratio of 4 can be used going forward unless we see a change in market sentiment?
3) Do people feel BRK will be able to reach the production numbers it has predicted , based on what it has proven it can do with the earlier program?
4) If one would agree with #3, then one should be confident that BRK will produce a rising revenue and profit stream through to 2028 as they have guided . That means if the USD / AUD is sitting at a similar levels to now in 2028 at ~65 cents, BRK will deliver a net income of ~AUD$77 million ( vary the AUD to whatever you think is reasonable)
5) If it hits that AUD$77 profit , assuming no buy backs , no capital raises , the SOI stays at 4.7 -4.8 billion by 2028 and that the market values BRK on the current fair value P/E ratio of 4, then what could the BRK share price be trading at in 2028 ?
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A simple but interesting mental exercise if you will. I don't...
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Last
1.3¢ |
Change
-0.001(7.14%) |
Mkt cap ! $61.93M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
1.4¢ | 1.4¢ | 1.2¢ | $56.66K | 4.360M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
30 | 23693761 | 1.2¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.3¢ | 2008408 | 6 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
30 | 24284694 | 0.012 |
13 | 9015909 | 0.011 |
14 | 4388963 | 0.010 |
7 | 3036680 | 0.009 |
1 | 100000 | 0.008 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.013 | 2989360 | 7 |
0.014 | 25302111 | 30 |
0.015 | 25568292 | 17 |
0.016 | 5067807 | 15 |
0.017 | 8774408 | 8 |
Last trade - 12.59pm 21/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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Last
1.3¢ |
  |
Change
-0.001 ( 0.00 %) |
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Open | High | Low | Volume | ||
1.3¢ | 1.3¢ | 1.3¢ | 2728831 | ||
Last updated 12.57pm 21/05/2024 ? |
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