MDL mineral deposits limited

Ann: Takeover Update, page-2

  1. 3,569 Posts.
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    Here's something of note for MDL shareholders.


    Eramet Full Year Report - Dec 2017. (Page 34 - TiZir).


    eramet-1.jpg
    Obviously a quick look at that graph shows that Eramet believe there will be TiO2 supply issue come 2020/2021 and a significant one come 2021.



    Here's the translation of that page (I have bold underlined the section worth noting).

    ZIRCON MARKET

    Zircon is used in particular in
    ceramics as an opacifier, conferring
    to them a shiny appearance and a surface
    smooth. Ceramic tiles or
    washbasins in bathrooms contain
    zircon: zircon sand is finely ground
    then added directly to the preparation of the
    ceramic and enamel.
    This mineral also has properties
    refractory very important it is so
    used in some industrial segments
    as a mold element in the foundry
    high precision. Chemical derivatives
    zircon are used in a multitude
    applications such as abrasives,
    wear resistant or even some
    catalysts. Finally, zirconium metal is
    used particularly in the nuclear sector
    and constitutes the protective envelope of
    fuel rods (very resistant to
    heat and permeable to neutrons).

    Use of Zircon:
    ■ Ceramics 52%
    ■ Chemical derivatives 20%
    ■ Refractories 15%
    ■ Foundries 12%
    ■ Other 1%

    The main producers of zircon are
    Crystal, Iluka, Kenmare Resources, Rio Tinto,
    TiZir and Tronox.
    As with titanium dioxide, the
    zircon market experienced at the beginning of the
    decade a period of very high prices and
    of tension in the physical market. This one
    has been accentuated by behaviors of
    storage throughout the industry.
    In 2013, the movement reversed. A
    phase of destocking and significant decline
    courses has characterized the market on the essentials
    of the year, while production capacity
    continued to increase and that some
    consumers have adapted their modes of
    consumption on a technical level for
    optimize their use of zircon (substitution
    partial). The price of zircon remained
    relatively stable in 2014 and 2015 before
    to fall again in early 2016 following a new
    lower demand for production
    of ceramic tiles in China.

    Prices rose slightly in late 2016
    then beginning of 2017 but in the second quarter,
    stocks at the producers are now
    very low, robust demand and stable supply
    have caused a sustained increase
    prices to reach at the end of the year a
    increase of about 35% compared to
    average level of 2016.


    MARKET OUTLOOK

    The beginning of 2018 looks promising
    for all markets
    TiZir products:
    ■ the actual demand seems robust with
    average multi-year growth rate
    between 2% and 3%;
    ■ stocks are low;
    ■ the supply does not grow, for lack of any new
    projects and because of the political
    environment in China that compels
    volumes at some producers.
    In the longer term, the market outlook
    for mineralized sands are favorable, making
    show a supply deficit compared to the
    as shown in the following graph.


    So what is then?

    You are telling MDL holders there is uncertainty in pricing and supply volumes, but you tell your shareholders that TiZir has a very rosy future.

    Eramet,
    $2 plus, plus or pack up and go home, holders are not interested !!!!!

    MDL Holders
    I know that Eramet are in Melbourne doing the rounds of the biggest holders. I'd be betting at $1.46 the discussions will be brief.



    P
 
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