Thanks explaining so well, have learnt a lot from this guess...

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Powdrifter76

5 Posts.

04/04/23

14:46

Post #: 67129138
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Originally posted by zebster: ↑

It's over.

There are two possible pathways for (blocking) a takeover bid:
Wyloo, with its pre-bid holding of 19.9%, had (still has) the power to block a rival hostile on-market (or off-market) bid. (Min. required to block a hostile bid: 10%.)
The other pathway available for a potential bidder is a friendly bid in which the MCR Board sponsors a SOA. This would require a SH vote at an EGM and would required 75% of the votes cast in favour in order for it to be successful. Put another way, if 25% voted 'against' or abstained the resolution would fail (i.e. the SOA bid would fail). So you need >25% OF THE VOTES CAST to block a SOA takeover. Wyloo's current 23.5% (and climbing) is already enough to effectively block that pathway due to fact not every SH bothers to vote and the math associated with those that do means Wyloo effectively has enough already. It won't be long until it has 25%, which is enough, absolutely.

So, he's got enough to ensure nobody else can achieve a full takeover, regardless of pathway chosen. It only leaves a partial takeover (for control only) as the only possible alternative. But AF is already closing-in on 25%. And if that wasn't hard enough for any other potential suitor, his bid price is locked-in at a level that's materially higher than it would have otherwise been if the As problems had been known earlier. The current bid price is the lock-nut that ensures nobody else will bid, given the distinct lack of clarity around the As drama.

It's over.

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Thanks explaining so well, have learnt a lot from this guess i'll regrettably follow the rest out the door. . Good luck to all for the future. Sentiment changed.
MCR Price at posting: $1.40 Sentiment: Sell Disclosure: Held
2 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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Thanks explaining so well, have learnt a lot from this guess...

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