We have to consider both the valuation and the financial situation.
Based on today's share price, it looks cheap with a PE 26 of 3.9 x (taking their target of 100 m$ NPAT in FY 26).
Even if we just look at FY 24, it still looks cheap with a PE of only 7.6 x, while FY 24 is expected to be the bottom for their short term earnings.
The company also looks cheap based on its their equities (618 m NZD at 31/12/23*).
Risks at this stage :
- potential need for a capital increase to improve their financial situation**,
- stock could go back to its bottom of 1 NZD (in NZX) during covid.
They seem to have a regular problem of cash flow, as their cash flow from operation has been negative during the last 2 years and a half.
But this is only due to the fact that they have to book their purchase of rental assets in their cash flow from operation.
Excluding this item, they would have a significant cash flow from operation.
Given their tight financial situation, it is not a surprise to see the company revising down the growth of its fleet to a rental fleet below 9,000 at end of FY 25 (vs previous guidance of a rental fleet below 9,500 at end FY 25).
My main difficulty with their business model remains that they seem to largely depend on the resale of their ex-rental vehicles.
I have never been able to find a figure for their cash flow, excluding the proceed from sale of ex rentals.
* this figure may be inflated by different elements. Probably more cautious to consider equities excluding intangible assets (191 m NZD). In that case, market cap is close to equity value.
** for now, the company says that it does not need to raise capital, but it will work with its banks to modify its covenants.
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Last
$1.96 |
Change
0.050(2.62%) |
Mkt cap ! $426.6M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$1.97 | $1.99 | $1.96 | $22.18K | 11.27K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 1538 | $1.95 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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$2.01 | 1000 | 1 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 174 | 1.945 |
1 | 150 | 1.940 |
1 | 174 | 1.930 |
1 | 232 | 1.880 |
2 | 10402 | 1.850 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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2.010 | 1000 | 1 |
2.070 | 5000 | 1 |
2.080 | 1000 | 1 |
2.100 | 593 | 2 |
2.140 | 1000 | 1 |
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