TMT 0.00% 26.0¢ technology metals australia limited

pls permit me to put it in quantitative terms, in a simple back...

  1. 3,607 Posts.
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    pls permit me to put it in quantitative terms, in a simple back of an envelope style:

    Assuming TMT get to production, either through an ER or a major inwestor.
    TMT will then have $380m in the bank to fund the project or rather $450m if they plan
    to build the gas pipeline.
     
    The shareprice will remain the same, because the $450 offsets the increase in the 
    number of shares raised for this money (Asset - Equity difference = 0).

    Now assuming a $30m a year profit from production and selling the V. 
    And in turn assuming a PE of 5 at this point, then MC will be $150m  (30x5)
    MC now however is $18m. 
    150/18 = 8.3.
    So in this scenario will see around 8x bags on your investment today (not bad hey)
    This equates to a share price of around $2 a share.

    Why did I use a PE of 5 and not 15 as most people like to use? Because 5 seems to be the 
    standard in Resources these days, for small companies.
    People dont invest in the sector like they used to durng the last boom a number of years ago.
    (PLS for eg is trading on about 5x future earnings)
    The speculation and boom may not happen again for a long time. Of course there will be
    spikes up occasionally like in 2017, but they would be signals to get out and sell.

    Contrarian views welcome.
 
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