Ann: Total depth called for Alameda-1, page-234

So am I right in saying that this “could” have potentially10b billion barrels of oil in place and it “could” be recoverable at 15%. Meaning our share “could” be 450m barrels of oil? At $5 in ground value that’s $2b+ which might be a conservative igv given how soon we might produce, how close we are to the refineries and the potential for oil to keep going up
that’s close to $1 per share and we haven’t even looked at Zapato.
obviously I may be overstating assumptions on total barrels in place and recoverable % which we won’t know until flow tests. Is there anywhere else I’m wrong in my logic here? Feel free to shoot me down hard as I’m not traditionally and o&g investor buy this just seems like a no brainer to me