I don't think it's anything to worry about. The buy-back will almost certainly be approved IMO, so in the next few months WPL is suddenly going to find itself with about 10% fewer shares on the register. Earnings, dividends and yield will all go up 10%, and WPL has confirmed they will continue paying out 80% of underlying earnings, which will be substantial, with Pluto chugging along and this Iraq stuff going on which has given a (small) boost to the oil price. WPL's LNG contracts are still oil-linked so I think earnings may surprise slightly to the upside anyway, even before the buy-back takes effect.
In addition, the overhang is now gone, and regardless of whether you think this makes WPL a takeover target, it certainly doesn't make them LESS of a target - it is either positive or has no effect.
So I think in the next few weeks to months, we'll see the SP trend up to make back that 5% and then up at least another 5%, possibly 10%. Trailing yield is now 6.6% as of yesterday's close (including one special div), which after the buy-back will be 7.2% fully franked - absolutely insane yield for a blue chip oiler.
Even without the special div it's 5.6% post buy-back. With 80% payout ratio going forward I don't really see WPL staying at these levels going forward.
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Last
$24.02 |
Change
-0.050(0.21%) |
Mkt cap ! $45.60B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$23.90 | $24.07 | $23.85 | $92.53M | 3.857M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 208 | $24.01 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$24.04 | 12030 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 208 | 24.010 |
4 | 8256 | 24.000 |
1 | 90 | 23.980 |
5 | 3171 | 23.970 |
5 | 8717 | 23.960 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
24.040 | 12030 | 2 |
24.050 | 3494 | 6 |
24.060 | 12130 | 2 |
24.070 | 8711 | 14 |
24.080 | 1800 | 2 |
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