This a pretty simple one to work out - you simply have to take a view on the pro forma EBIT margin management will get out of the 3 divisions to work out if the stock's fairly priced or cheap.
- Pro forma SOI of 423m * price = PF market cap of $51m. $4m PF net debt gives PF EV of $54m.
- Pro forma management forecast revenue of $500m.
- Plug in your assumed PF EBIT margin. History suggests the contracting business will do anything from 0% (2014 estimate, after adding back impairments and goodwill writedowns, and allocating corporate overhead) to 6%, the building division will do something between 1% (2013 adj. number) and 5% (2009-2010 figures), and the maintenance division will do something between 2% (2013 adj. number) and 5% (2012).
If you think the sustainable EBIT margin in aggregate for this business is north of 3% (and take the $500m revenue forecast as a given, which it should be given the predictable nature of the business' revenues), the stock's trading on a PF15 P/E of about 5x (assumes $1m PF interest costs and 30% tax) or better, which is cheap even for a business of this quality (i.e. low). A 5% forecast EBIT margin generates a PF P/E of roughly 3x, which is screaming cheap; on the counter, a 1.5% EBIT margin (i.e. you think the business is doomed and won't recover despite management's turnaround strategy) produces a P/E of about 11x, which isn't cheap.
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This a pretty simple one to work out - you simply have to take a...
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Last
7.7¢ |
Change
0.001(1.32%) |
Mkt cap ! $5.798M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
7.8¢ | 7.8¢ | 7.6¢ | $19.29K | 249.0K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 22400 | 7.6¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
8.6¢ | 7547 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 7400 | 0.076 |
2 | 20324 | 0.075 |
2 | 1010000 | 0.072 |
1 | 8000 | 0.070 |
1 | 15715 | 0.063 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.086 | 7547 | 2 |
0.088 | 140646 | 1 |
0.092 | 25000 | 1 |
0.094 | 23452 | 2 |
0.095 | 890 | 1 |
Last trade - 15.25pm 27/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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PARADIGM BIOPHARMACEUTICALS LIMITED..
Paul Rennie, MD & Founder
Paul Rennie
MD & Founder
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