HLF 0.00% 0.7¢ halo food co. limited

Ann: Trading Halt, page-323

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  1. 416 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 86
    Its good debate folks. But on the bigger picture, i want to point out the recent events

    SP goes from 20c to 45c:
    1) markets up on stimulus
    2) dairy & wellness industry not affected
    3) opening orders from iovate, & followup order from Walmart & Nouriz

    SP goes from 45c to 27c:
    1) Q results paint larger cash outflow & revenue below expectations (KTD+Omni+Sc = 8.5M wtf!)
    2) performance rights & zero cost options (**110M + 30M) appears to dilute Total share by 50% driving low confidence in management
    3) 12.5M CR at 31c to buy AusConfec (Bankrupt company) appears to be a not so great use for money at initial review.

    in my opinion the fall from 45c to 27c is an over reaction. I do have a significant dip in my holdings, but until further clarity is obtained, I will wait on the side lines. 25c-27c seem to be a good entry with a 35c target. Thinking ahead Next Q will be July - Expecting a 11-12.5 M revenue putting Halo Foods as a 50M revenue business. If the economy is doing well, thats a 100M market cap = 35-40c fair value; Just FYI - thats a big if right there. If we get more new order the fair value goes up with positive news.

    ** For the majority of the performance right to be issued, the business gas to be doing really well - like 30 to 50% growth in top line.
    ** the zero cost options, Meh not a big fan but watever.

    DYOR
    Last edited by Elmacho: 18/05/20
 
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