PSC 3.23% 16.0¢ prospect resources limited

Maybe it will drop below, I don't control the market. But for...

  1. 3,909 Posts.
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    Maybe it will drop below, I don't control the market. But for context GLN had 242 (or there abouts) SOI prior to the 50M placement for a MC of around 300M.

    Post the announcement where they effectively chucked another 44m share on the registry. Plus the options that were exercised end up with 288M SOI. So post CR yes the MC dropped 12m or 4%.

    As indicated at 40c (given the dilution of the issuance) we maintain the MC we have today.

    That's what most investors don't understand about the CR. The MC of the company tends to remain the same. The reason the S/P drops is generally a direct factor of the dilution.

    Additionally, if GLN was at BFS stage about to initiate final investment decision I wouldn't have expected the S/P to pull back at all. For GLN At 40% it's NPV it's pretty fairly valued given how far into the development it is. PSC much closer to production, less capex, and will be 20-25% NPV post the 2.4mtpa direct study IMO.

    But if we like using historical examples I'll use AVZ. They raised 40M at 13c which was an 19% discount to the traded price. S/P never went below 14.5c.

    AVZ raise 13c.PNG

    But absolutely anyone that wants to wait if you can get in below 40c credit to you. I'll be right there buying with you. Average of 11c currently but happy to average up at those prices.

    8 times out of 10 they do touch or go below the CR price generally due to dilution so as to maintain the MC. Have been in a few where it does the opposite and the people aiming for CR raise prices end up chasing.

    SF2TH
    Last edited by setfire2thehive: 27/10/21
 
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