I think they need to give updated cost guidance on each site as the picture has changed dramatically. This is what they originally announced back in 2021:
- BluffFOB Cost: A$120-137
- Broadmeadow EastFOB Cost: A$100-110/t
- Burton/LentonFOB Cost: A$100-114
- Isaac River FOB Cost: A$113-122
To be safe you have to take the midpoint of those ranges. Sometime in 2022 they estimated an additional +15% on the above figures, but I don't think it'd be unreasonable to go much higher. As a general coal proxy, take WHC's costs (I know it's mostly thermal but just as an industry guide). In FY21 these were $74/t. In FY22 they were $84/t. For FY23 they have guided to A$105/t (upper end). So from FY21 to FY23 their costs are up just over 40%, and that's for an established miner at scale, not someone ramping up production and competing for new workers at new sites. I don't think it's unreasonable to estimate that Bowen's costs are probably up at least 45% on their original 2021 guidance. If you re-ran the 2021 numbers (taking the original mid-points), you get the following:
- Bluff FOB Cost: A$186/t
- Broadmeadow East FOB Cost: A$152/t
- Burton/Lenton FOB Cost: A$155/t
- Isaac River FOB Cost: A$170/t
This changes the picture significantly and would help explain why they raised $85M in October 22, then took an extra $7M from Taurus in March 23 (which is now fully drawn according to today's term sheet) and are now raising another $50M in June 23. I really think they may run into problems unless the met price recovers.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- Ann: Trading Halt
I think they need to give updated cost guidance on each site as...
Featured News
Add BCB (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
0.7¢ |
Change
-0.001(12.5%) |
Mkt cap ! $69.99M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
0.8¢ | 0.8¢ | 0.7¢ | $13.66K | 1.718M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
49 | 36097279 | 0.7¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.8¢ | 15478519 | 11 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
49 | 36097279 | 0.007 |
10 | 6081800 | 0.006 |
14 | 6165991 | 0.005 |
4 | 5325000 | 0.004 |
1 | 2000000 | 0.003 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.008 | 15478519 | 11 |
0.009 | 30583700 | 14 |
0.010 | 4157796 | 9 |
0.011 | 1625120 | 3 |
0.012 | 3034693 | 5 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 14/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
BCB (ASX) Chart |