Ok so i'm a bit ahead of myself there on the Chinese regulatory approvals. nothing new. Shenghe should have a good handle on the likelihood of approval being granted them, and they are buying here to retain their 19% stake.
So
-They wasted millions on the phosphate drilling
-They raised at a desperate discount
-Contracts are delayed due to translations
-Shenghe doesn't yet have approval to proceed
However;
-They have now stopped wasting funds on phosphate exploration
-They have interim funding
-Contract translators sound as if they are close to understanding English
-And Shenghe appear confident they'll gain approval
So what is the company worth once approvals granted and all expenses paid with 35% of profit for 7 years?
(I haven't bothered to do those numbers but I'm sure it's all there in the quarterly?)
Anyway;
Back to the brutal 47% discount; roughly 20c to 10c
In very rough numbers, If the market cap is $35m today it was circa $70m pre raising;
So a $35m reduction in market cap to add $6m to the coffers, thats 60 million additional shares added to the approx 300m existing, or dilution of roughly 1/5
One fifth of 20c is 16c
Is the 10c raising zone a short term buying opportunity? Probably.
Risk is still very much on but the discount looks overdone and even slightly tempting.
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peak rare earths limited
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Ok so i'm a bit ahead of myself there on the Chinese regulatory...
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Last
28.0¢ |
Change
-0.005(1.75%) |
Mkt cap ! $98.59M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
28.5¢ | 28.5¢ | 28.0¢ | $105.9K | 373.3K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
7 | 678908 | 28.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
28.5¢ | 1400 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
9 | 681593 | 0.280 |
8 | 357000 | 0.275 |
6 | 426678 | 0.270 |
6 | 369000 | 0.265 |
7 | 1526383 | 0.260 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.280 | 1785 | 1 |
0.285 | 7400 | 2 |
0.290 | 23366 | 3 |
0.300 | 153029 | 3 |
0.310 | 6600 | 2 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 26/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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