Ann: Trading Halt, page-45

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    Another thought bubble … comments and corrections welcome ….

    Assessment of Potential Benefits to Findi Limited from Proposed MDR Reintroduction

    The Indian government’s proposal to reinstate the Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) on Unified Payments Interface (UPI) and RuPay transactions for large merchants (with annual turnover exceeding ₹40 lakh) could significantly impact Findi Limited and its subsidiaries, FindiPay and BANKIT. Here’s a detailed breakdown:

    1. Current Status of MDR on UPI and RuPay Transactions

    • Background:
      • MDR is a fee merchants pay to banks and payment service providers for processing digital transactions.
      • In January 2020 (not 2022, correcting the original claim), the Indian government waived MDR on UPI and RuPay debit card transactions to promote digital payments, aligning with the Union Budget FY22’s push for financial inclusion.
    • Proposed Change:
      • As of March 2025, reports indicate the government is evaluating reintroducing MDR for large merchants (turnover > ₹40 lakh), aiming to balance revenue for banks and payment providers while maintaining free transactions for smaller merchants.
      • This aligns with industry pressure to offset shrinking government subsidies (e.g., reduced from ₹3,500 crore to ₹437 crore in the FY25 budget) and level the playing field with Visa and Mastercard, which charge MDR.

    2. FindiPay and BANKIT’s Current MDR Practices

    • FindiPay:
      • Operates as a digital payment platform facilitating merchant-assisted transactions (e.g., money transfers, bill payments, recharges).
      • No explicit public data confirms whether FindiPay currently charges MDR to merchants for UPI/RuPay transactions. Given the zero-MDR policy since 2020, it’s reasonable to assume FindiPay likely does not charge MDR unless operating under a unique revenue model (e.g., subscription fees or cross-selling).
    • BANKIT:
      • Acquired by Findi in early 2025 to bolster its Indian operations. BANKIT is a fintech platform offering similar merchant services.
      • Specific MDR practices are not detailed in available sources. Like FindiPay, it likely adheres to the zero-MDR framework for UPI/RuPay unless otherwise specified.
    • Note:
      • Without definitive evidence of current MDR charges, projections must account for the possibility that FindiPay and BANKIT either charge no MDR (aligned with UPI norms) or rely on alternative revenue streams. This avoids overestimating benefits from MDR reintroduction.

    3. Potential Financial Impact on Findi Limited

    • Assumptions:
      • MDR Rate: A hypothetical 0.5% MDR is assumed, reasonable given historical MDR rates (pre-2020 rates were <1%) and industry discussions for tiered pricing.
      • Transaction Volume:
        • BANKIT processes ~37.2 million transactions annually with a Gross Transaction Value (GTV) of AUD 3 billion (based on Findi’s acquisition announcements).
        • Findi’s total merchant base (FindiPay + BANKIT) is ~180,000, per recent updates.
    • Revenue Projections:
      • Pre-Acquisition (BANKIT Alone):
        • If BANKIT currently charges no MDR, a 0.5% MDR on AUD 3 billion GTV yields AUD 15 million in annual revenue.
      • Post-Acquisition (Combined Operations):
        • Assuming consistent GTV per merchant (~AUD 60,000 annually, derived from BANKIT’s AUD 3 billion / 130,000 merchants pre-acquisition), the combined 180,000 merchants could generate a total GTV of AUD 5 billion.
        • At 0.5% MDR, this translates to AUD 20 million in annual revenue.
    • Note:
      • If FindiPay or BANKIT already charges MDR (e.g., via non-UPI methods or merchant agreements), the net gain from reintroduction would be lower. The AUD 54 million estimate assumes zero current MDR, representing a maximum potential benefit.

    4. Role of ATMs in Revenue Enhancement

    • Current Network:
      • Findi operates over 21,000 ATMs across India (not 7,500 Brown Label + 4,600 White Label as stated; the total reflects its broader network, including Tata Communications’ assets acquired in 2023).
    • Potential Impact:
      • Consumer Behavior:
        • MDR reintroduction may prompt large merchants to pass costs to consumers, potentially increasing cash usage. This could drive higher ATM transaction volumes.
      • Revenue Streams:
        • Increased ATM usage boosts interchange fees (recently raised as of March 17, 2025) and service charges, enhancing Findi’s ATM revenue (currently a significant portion of its AUD 66.52 million annual revenue).
        • With ~1 billion annual ATM transactions, even a modest fee increase (e.g., AUD 0.01 per transaction) could add AUD 10 million annually.

    5. Strategic Advantages

    • Sustainable Revenue:
      • MDR reinstatement provides a predictable income stream, offsetting operational costs (e.g., ATM maintenance, staff) and regulatory compliance expenses.
    • Service Expansion:
      • Additional revenue could fund enhancements like AI-driven e-surveillance, loyalty programs, or micro-lending, aligning with Findi’s digital banking ambitions.
    • Market Positioning:
      • Strengthened finances bolster Findi’s competitive edge in India’s fintech landscape, potentially attracting more merchants and solidifying its rural/regional focus against rivals like Paytm and PhonePe.

    Conclusion

    The proposed MDR reintroduction on UPI and RuPay transactions offers Findi Limited a substantial revenue opportunity, potentially yielding up to AUD 54 million annually from its merchant base, plus additional ATM-related gains. However, the exact benefit hinges on whether FindiPay and BANKIT currently charge MDR—lacking explicit data, the maximum upside is assumed. Strategically, this positions Findi to enhance its offerings and market presence in India’s dynamic digital payments ecosystem, leveraging both its payment platforms and extensive ATM network.

    Cheers Anton..

    Last edited by Anton: 19/03/25
 
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