On the basis of the trading update & letter to the shareholders, here are the numbers I have approximated.
Allowing for a 12.5% EBITDA margin in FY24
a 27.5% tax rate
& ~15.5m in d&a charges.
We get an NPAT of 102m, hopefully also resulting in excess cash of $300million.
An implied SP on a basis of a 18x price to earnings ratio is ~$7.00.
In the shorter term. the SP may well come under a lot of pressure as the CEO has flagged "disciplined investment" and sacrifice of bottom lines/margin now so that greater market share can be captured.
Investment returns between now and 2024 are likely to be skewed in to the right. (I.e over 12-18 months the SP may go backwards, but the market will realise and re-rate the stock when it delivers on its promises in 2024.)
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Last
38.5¢ |
Change
-0.005(1.28%) |
Mkt cap ! $110.4M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
39.3¢ | 39.3¢ | 38.5¢ | $5.047K | 13.07K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 8523 | 38.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
39.0¢ | 19414 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 8523 | 0.385 |
3 | 21063 | 0.380 |
2 | 12500 | 0.370 |
2 | 11500 | 0.365 |
7 | 21018 | 0.360 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.390 | 19414 | 1 |
0.395 | 6620 | 1 |
0.400 | 31478 | 2 |
0.405 | 35467 | 7 |
0.410 | 650 | 2 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 04/10/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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