ATG 1.45% 35.0¢ articore group limited

No, If you were to discount 7/(1.15)^3 you get ~$4.60.Remember...

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  1. 141 Posts.
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    No,
    If you were to discount 7/(1.15)^3 you get ~$4.60.
    Remember we are 3 quarters into 2021, so its 3.25 years if you want to be precise on the timeframe.

    Under my numbers (3 years & 10% discount), I get an implied IV of $5.12.

    Also - why a 15% discount rate?

    The risk free rate / Aus 10 year treasury yields are sub ~1.7%, meaning you are allowing for a ~13% risk premium.
    I used a 10% discount rate, and I consider this rather conservative.

    My valuation analysis goes a lot deeper than I've shared to date. I applied an 18 times p/e ratio for simplicities sake. I can share the whole report if needed.
 
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