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Ann: UK Business Update, page-25

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LithiumHydride

133 Posts.

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15/06/18

10:07

Post #: 33729073
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Originally posted by tessastanle ↑

Yep 6186mark, I think the revised BH numbers around H2 EBITDA and EPS are in the ballpark with my modelling after the previous UK update in May. And BTW your post on 01/06 regarding DVLA data purchases was spot on against SPZ's infringement numbers for the full year.

I'm not entirely clear on BH's comments around "underlying EBITDA is forecast to fall by c20-30% in 2H18 versus 2H17" - EBITDA in 2H17 was a loss of $0.9m (per page 6 of the Feb results presentation), vs 2H18 forecast now to be a positive $1.4m?

Besides the only abnormal item of $600k cost from yesterday's announcement, everything else I thought has already been announced 3 weeks ago in the previous UK update (10% EBITDA growth PCP due to poor weather and delayed site go-lives post UK management removal). So I'm still scratching my head as to the 25% fall yesterday - still speculating that an insto got out once and for all with newsflow yesterday as well as accumulator/sell bot rolling the dice once more to get the price closer to 20c before EOFY?

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My modelling shows FY18 will have a fairly small NPAT. Not too concerned. I'm looking forwards to that growth in FY19 and FY20.

SPZ Price at posting: 21.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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Last 60.5¢		Change -0.020(3.20%)		Mkt cap ! $211.3M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
62.0¢	62.5¢	60.5¢	$64.20K	105.1K

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No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	32000	60.5¢

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Price($)	Vol.	No.
62.5¢	58400	2

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No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	32000	0.605
2	21166	0.600
1	8405	0.595
2	53474	0.590
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Price($)	Vol.	No.
0.625	58400	2
0.630	48362	1
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0.650	5882	1
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