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10/01/25

15:36

Post #: 77352279
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Originally posted by Tarvold: ↑

How did you arrive at HCW assets being around half made up by Healthscope?

HCW owns 4 Healthscope properties directly (100%) totalling $288.4m (approx 18% total assets) + a share of 7 through it's strategic investment in UHF.
Distributions from UHF LY represented approx 18% of total income ($79m) before fees & interest. (Assuming that's all from Healthscope assets?).

So I'd say your 50% income at risk estimate is too high & should be closer to 35%.

35% of $79m is $27.7, 20% reduction in rent is around $5.5m.
$5.5m is approx 12% LY DFO/distributions.

CY distributions 8.2c, so if 12% was lost due to new contracts on Healthscope assets that would reduce distributions to approx 7.2c.
7.2c at 95c unit price is a yield of 7.6%, a little high for a REIT but not massively so.

So IMO current unit price is probably around the right level to allow for Healthscope contracts to be defaulted on & resigned at a 20% discount. Assuming that's even correct.

Reports is the press suggest rival hospital operators are ready to step in should Healthscope go into administration.

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Hopefully you will correct your calculations!

even without correcting if you are after 7.6% yield then there are many REIT that provides that yield including HDN (7.25%) without any news in market about one of their biggest tenant facing financial struggle !!

HCW Price at posting: 94.8¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Not Held
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(20min delay)
Last 77.0¢		Change 0.030(4.05%)		Mkt cap ! $423.6M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
74.0¢	77.0¢	74.0¢	$1.450M	1.916M

Buyers (Bids)

No.	Vol.	Price($)
1	10000	76.5¢

Sellers (Offers)

Price($)	Vol.	No.
77.0¢	180	1

View Market Depth

No.	Vol.	Price($)
1	10000	0.765
3	89694	0.755
2	22851	0.750
4	54651	0.740
3	38013	0.735

Price($)	Vol.	No.
0.770	180	1
0.775	68271	4
0.780	100539	7
0.785	15000	1
0.800	9723	3

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