Even if HLI lose all the CBA group business I look at their position at 31 December 2023.
NTA of $3.76 per share plus CSM in liabilities of $2.22 per share gives an earned value just shy of $6 per share. Based on current conditions and performance I think that LRC is over-provided for at 31 December which sends earned value north of $6 per share. This is without any regard to future earnings from new written business.
I just paid $3.45 per share to buy something I consider to have a medium term NPV of over $6, this makes me happy
Maybe this is why they have been holding back on the share buy-back, they should start to fill their boots.
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