MTC 16.3% 28.5¢ metalstech limited

Just breaking down the figures a bit more:US$36m upon...

  1. 2,479 Posts.
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    Just breaking down the figures a bit more:

    US$36m upon shareholder approval
    US$20m upon underground mining activity approval (2-3 months)

    USD$56m=AUD$84m @ current exchange rate.

    188m soi/$84m=44cps/85%=37cps return to shareholders, less any expenses/taxes

    Royalty US$25m=AU$37.5m or another 20cps of future value.

    So if the deal happens as outlined, the company will retain about $13m plus a future royalty which MTC may yet choose to take as a lump sum payment of US$25m, or AU$37.5m at current exchange rate. That's potentially $50m of retained value after distributing 85% of the first $84m payments, or $71m to shareholders

    The shares in MTC should still retain some value, so even if there was a hold-up in receiving the underground mining approval, the share price and initial distribution should underpin an sp of 30c on a conservative basis, with plenty of potential upside. The current Canadian lithium assets are a bonus that could be worth something when lithium comes back into favour.

    I consider MTC a risk worth taking as there is no real sale value reflected in the current sp.

    The Top 20 hold 78% of the company so they will decide what happens here. I would think Gino likes the thought of a big pay day coming as he holds about 23m shares, so plenty of incentive to hand back as much cash to shareholders as possible.

    Just my opinion.


 
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Last trade - 16.10pm 07/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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