Just breaking down the figures a bit more:
US$36m upon shareholder approval
US$20m upon underground mining activity approval (2-3 months)
USD$56m=AUD$84m @ current exchange rate.
188m soi/$84m=44cps/85%=37cps return to shareholders, less any expenses/taxes
Royalty US$25m=AU$37.5m or another 20cps of future value.
So if the deal happens as outlined, the company will retain about $13m plus a future royalty which MTC may yet choose to take as a lump sum payment of US$25m, or AU$37.5m at current exchange rate. That's potentially $50m of retained value after distributing 85% of the first $84m payments, or $71m to shareholders
The shares in MTC should still retain some value, so even if there was a hold-up in receiving the underground mining approval, the share price and initial distribution should underpin an sp of 30c on a conservative basis, with plenty of potential upside. The current Canadian lithium assets are a bonus that could be worth something when lithium comes back into favour.
I consider MTC a risk worth taking as there is no real sale value reflected in the current sp.
The Top 20 hold 78% of the company so they will decide what happens here. I would think Gino likes the thought of a big pay day coming as he holds about 23m shares, so plenty of incentive to hand back as much cash to shareholders as possible.
Just my opinion.
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Last
28.5¢ |
Change
0.040(16.3%) |
Mkt cap ! $53.85M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
25.0¢ | 29.0¢ | 25.0¢ | $196.7K | 719.3K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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1 | 5000 | 28.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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28.5¢ | 32899 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 5000 | 0.280 |
2 | 4500 | 0.275 |
1 | 113585 | 0.270 |
2 | 101016 | 0.265 |
2 | 16814 | 0.255 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.285 | 32899 | 2 |
0.290 | 22155 | 1 |
0.295 | 36500 | 4 |
0.300 | 87006 | 7 |
0.305 | 15143 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 07/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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Last
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Change
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Open | High | Low | Volume | ||
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Last updated 15.59pm 07/05/2024 ? |
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