FRB 0.00% 14.0¢ firebird metals limited

I like your view on the study and agree the company has a lot of...

  1. 157 Posts.
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    I like your view on the study and agree the company has a lot of potential from the current market cap.
    I do however think the $741m NPV is inflated. Concerns I have with the study is Pre-Tax, 8% discount rate, $4.80 dmtu concentrate price.

    The profitability is obviously very sensitive to the manganese price.
    I found it hard to find accurate manganese pricing so went through current producers.
    I looked at the Average CIF price achieved by Jupiter Mines last quarter which was $4.00 / dmtu

    Nevertheless, it's still a good study. Post-tax, 10% discount with $4 dmtu concentrate price I worked out around a $220m NPV.
    That extra 80c per dmtu makes a massive difference.

    From memory, (I originally looked at this weeks ago) the company is also working on a battery-grade scoping study.
    They will then combine both economic pathways in the PFS.

    My main concern is short-term funding and dilution.
    I would like to know how they plan to raise funds, and how long the funds will last.

    Overall I see a lot of potential and will keep a close eye on them.
    I'll wait to see how they plan to raise funds before I decide if I will invest.
 
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