Ann: Vali Project Update, page-3

  1. 1,815 Posts.
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    Hi Cara, Stumpy,
    With first gas from Vali and Odin expected by year end 2022, I took a quick look at potential daily and annual cashflow for MEL in 2023. I would welcome your input / thoughts on my assumptions which I sourced from various announcements. I'm just trying to get my head around whether this MEL's future cashflow will be sufficient to turn MEL's fortunes around.

    Key assumptions for cashflow;
    • East Coast sales gas price = $10.50 / GJ
    • OPEX cost / GJ (Cooper Basin) Wells, plant, royalty / tariffs, tax = $7.21 (sourced from Core Energy Resources (2019: Cooper Basin)
    • Sales gas price minus OPEX cost = $3.29 / GJ
    • Based on modelled well rates to achieve a production plateau of 9.1mmscf/d hydrocarbon gas - see below
    • 1 GJ = 947ft3
    • Production plateau rate = 9.1 mmscf/d hydrocarbon gas
    • 4 production wells with excess wellhead capacity
    • 300 stream days / annual

    Result
    • 2023 net MEL $7,914 per day
    • 2023 net MEL $2,374,248 annual
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4514/4514643-1b3abc8d9e822ab0f55864ed34617fc2.jpg
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/4514/4514650-90eccec907c75873eb00b477f45d027c.jpg
    Kind regards OldGeo
 
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